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Old 05-19-2013, 11:23 AM
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Default CME To Hit Earth May 19th; TODAY!!!!!!



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Todays sunspot number is 198 and NOAA estimate the chance of an M-Class flare at 75% over the next 24 hours and 50% for an X-Class during the same period.
Sunspot AR1748 has once again unleashed a flare, this time a M3 class, not the largest we have seen from this sunspot but its position on the sun disc could make it the most geoeffective so far. You can see the video of the CME leaving the Sun here.
A minor geomagnetic storm is currently in progress from the CME impact of May 18th, that one caused by a large flare two days ago.
NOAA estimate a 75% chance of geomagnetic storms when the next CME hits on May 19th.
More here

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Old 05-20-2013, 08:17 AM
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Default May 20th; Sunspot AR1748 is now Earth Facing

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Todays sunspot number is 113. Over the weekend two CME’s impacted the Earth’s magnetic field and sparked a major light show visible as far south as Colorado. Cape Cod saw a superb show and you can see a picture here.
AR1748 still harbors complex magnetic fields that can give rise to both M and X class flares, and any it throws off over the next couple of days will be earth directed.
Flares can cause problems by interfering with satellite signals and in extreme cases can cause surges that damages electrical transformers. In extreme cases this can cascade from transformer to transformer and knock out large areas of the electrical grid.
There will be more to come.
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